Scotland and Wales put a floor under the price of alcohol. Deaths from liver disease have already fallen. Cancer takes longer to show, so someone has to keep measuring for a decade.
Minimum unit pricing (Scotland 2018, Wales 2020, Ireland 2022) reduced alcohol sales by about 3% and alcohol-specific deaths by about 13% within three years. Alcohol-attributable cancers (oral, oesophageal, liver, colorectal, breast) have latencies of 10-20 years, so the cancer benefit, which is a large part of the policy's justification, will only be visible if a pre-registered evaluation with cancer registry linkage is funded for the long term. Natural-experiment designs comparing Scotland with England, and dose-response by deprivation, are feasible because registries are complete.
Shares Cancer warnings on alcohol labels, evaluated as a natural experiment, International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC / WHO), Prevention we already have is not deployed, Oesophageal cancer.
Shares Proportion and number of cancer cases and deaths attributable to potentially modifiable risk factors in the United States, Prevention we already have is not deployed, Oesophageal cancer, Hepatocellular carcinoma.
Shares Proportion and number of cancer cases and deaths attributable to potentially modifiable risk factors in the United States, International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC / WHO), Prevention we already have is not deployed.
Shares Alcohol-attributable cancer, International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC / WHO), Prevention we already have is not deployed.
Shares Proportion and number of cancer cases and deaths attributable to potentially modifiable risk factors in the United States, Prevention we already have is not deployed, Hepatocellular carcinoma.
Shares International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC / WHO), Prevention we already have is not deployed, Hepatocellular carcinoma, Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.
Shares International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC / WHO), Prevention we already have is not deployed, Oesophageal cancer, Hepatocellular carcinoma.
Shares Alcohol-attributable cancer, International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC / WHO), Prevention we already have is not deployed.